Nankai Trough Earthquake: 80% Risk Linked to Mysterious Trigger Fluid
Since the beginning of the year, there have been a series of eerie tremors, including an earthquake with an intensity of just under 5 on the Japanese seismic scale in Miyazaki, an earthquake with an intensity of 3 in Ehime, and an earthquake with an intensity of just under 6 in Taiwan.
Significant omens
The “X-Day” of an unprecedented disaster, when a massive earthquake will occur, is undoubtedly approaching.
This refers to the Nankai Trough Mega Earthquake, which could result in up to 320,000 deaths. Earlier this year, the government’s Earthquake Research Committee raised the probability of it occurring within the next 30 years from “70-80%” to “around 80%.” The cycle is said to be every 90 to 100 years, and more than 80 years have already passed since the last one (the 1944 Showa Tonankai Earthquake).
Yoshiaki Kawata, a Kansai University specially appointed professor and expert in natural disasters, commented:
“The Nankai Trough Earthquake could happen at any moment. If it occurs within the next 30 years, it’s only natural that the probability increases with time.”
According to Kawata, there are significant “precursors” to the Nankai Trough Earthquake.
“An examination of past Nankai Trough earthquakes reveals that about 40 years before the event, around ten magnitude (M) 6-class earthquakes occurred in the Kansai region. Since the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake in January 1995, seven M6 or higher earthquakes have already occurred. We’re already in a dangerous state, but if two more occur, we should be on high alert. What I pay close attention to are the Nara Eastern Edge Fault and the Hanaore Fault in Kyoto. Neither has moved for more than 500 years, and the accumulated stress could lead to significant shaking.”
